Ainur Rodgers
Senior Manager,
Regulatory Economics Group, LLC
Reston, VA

Ainur Rodgers is a highly accomplished Senior Manager at Regulatory Economics Group, LLC, bringing over twenty years of extensive experience in the energy industry across North America, Europe, former USSR and Kazakhstan.


With an MBA in Finance and Investments from George Washington University, Ainur is an expert in regulatory economics, offering comprehensive consulting services that include compliance with FERC regulations for oil pipelines, tariff analysis, rate filings, strategic planning, and litigation support.


Her profound understanding of quantitative methods for economic and financial analysis, coupled with her expertise in database architecture, enables her to deliver insightful and impactful solutions for complex energy market challenges.


Experience & Expertise:

Ainur's core competencies lie in conducting in-depth analyses for cost-of-service regulation, developing applications for market-based rates for interstate oil pipelines, and providing critical support for mergers and acquisitions within the oil sector.


She has a proven track record of:


  • Regulatory Compliance & Filings: Guiding clients through FERC regulations for oil pipelines, preparing tariff analyses, and managing successful rate filings.
  • Strategic Planning & Litigation Support: Providing invaluable insights for strategic decision-making and offering robust support in litigation contexts.
  • Cost-of-Service & Market-Based Rate Analysis: Conducting thorough economic analyses for cost-of-service regulation and developing compelling applications for market-based ratemaking authority.
  • Mergers & Acquisitions: Contributing to the successful approval of mergers for oil companies by preparing white papers and underlying calculations, including demonstrating societal benefits.
  • Quantitative Methods & Database Architecture: Leveraging advanced quantitative methods for economic and financial analysis and designing effective database architectures to support complex modeling and data interpretation.

Key Projects & Contributions:


  • US-Canadian Condensate Pipeline Market Analysis (2024-Ongoing): Spearheaded a comprehensive market analysis for a major US-Canadian condensate pipeline. This project involved evaluating diverse supply sources of diluent across both countries (field production, gas plants, fractionators, refineries, etc.), analyzing capacity, production, and market shares, and assessing benefits to end-users. A significant outcome of this work was the application for market-based ratemaking authority from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).

  • Delivery-Based Cost Database Model Development (Multiple uses between 2004-2025): Designed and developed an innovative delivery-based cost database model. This model estimates transportation costs from refineries, via pipelines to terminals, and then via trucks to all surrounding counties or zip codes. It further calculates competitor costs and evaluates their respective market reach. This model has been instrumental in:
  1. Securing FTC approval for a major US oil pipeline's acquisition of another large oil company, providing compelling evidence and illustrative maps to demonstrate societal benefits before and after the acquisition.
  2. Informing strategic decisions for another major pipeline regarding the optimal location for new terminal construction.
  3. Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Pipeline Cost Allocation Analysis: Participated in a significant cost allocation analysis for the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Pipeline, contributing to a case in London.
  4. Shell Chemicals Kazakhstan Market Analysis (1997-1999): Conducted a comprehensive market analysis for Shell Chemicals Kazakhstan, prior to her relocation to the United States.